Transfer case
Rodri Manchester City → Real Madrid
🇪🇸 ES DM 30 yrs 190 cm Current club: Manchester City
Photo: Bryan Berlin, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
Platform prediction
Scoring formula v1.2.0 / 2026-07-23 17:57 UTC computed
See the full evidence behind this number
| Claim | Source weight | Base | Decay | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest | ×1 | +8 | ×0.71 | +5.7 |
| Interest | ×1 | +8 | ×0.74 | +5.9 |
| Player intent | ×0.4 | +18 | ×0.99 | +7.1 |
| Talks opened | ×0.4 | +20 | ×1.00 | +8.0 |
| Personal-terms talks | ×0.4 | +25 | ×1.00 | +10.0 |
| Personal terms agreed | ×0.4 | +32 | ×1.00 | +12.8 |
| Personal terms agreed | ×0.4 | +32 | ×1.00 | +12.8 |
| Club agreement | ×0.4 | +30 | ×1.00 | +12.0 |
| Personal terms agreed | ×0.4 | +32 | ×1.00 | +12.8 |
| Talks opened | ×0.7 | +20 | ×1.00 | +14.0 |
| Interest | ×0.7 | +8 | ×1.00 | +5.6 |
| Interest | ×0.4 | +8 | ×1.00 | +3.2 |
| Interest | ×1 | +8 | ×1.00 | +8.0 |
| Talks opened | ×0.4 | +20 | ×1.00 | +8.0 |
| Personal-terms talks | ×0.4 | +25 | ×1.00 | +10.0 |
| Talks opened | ×0.4 | +20 | ×1.00 | +8.0 |
| Player intent | ×0.4 | +18 | ×1.00 | +7.2 |
| Interest | ×0.4 | +8 | ×1.00 | +3.2 |
| Interest | ×0.7 | +8 | ×1.00 | +5.6 |
| Stay intent | ×0.4 | -12 | ×1.00 | -4.8 |
| Interest | ×0.4 | +8 | ×1.00 | +3.2 |
| Stay intent | ×1 | -12 | ×1.00 | -12.0 |
raw score 146.3 → sigmoid normalization → 100%.
Reporting timeline (structured claims)
Structured summaries of third-party reporting, not assertions of fact. Use "Request correction" to flag an error.
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2026-07-23 · Stay intent · Confidence: high
Manchester City want to keep Rodri and are weighing an extension, per Sky Sports
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2026-07-23 · Interest · Confidence: medium
Real Madrid are showing interest in Rodri, per Olé
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2026-07-23 · Stay intent · Confidence: medium
Manchester City want to keep Rodri and are weighing an extension, per Goal Japan
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2026-07-23 · Interest · Confidence: medium
Real Madrid are showing interest in Rodri, per RMC Sport
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2026-07-23 · Interest · Confidence: medium
Real Madrid are showing interest in Rodri, per Foot Mercato
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2026-07-23 · Talks opened · Confidence: high
Real Madrid and Manchester City have opened talks over Rodri, per Goal Japan
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2026-07-23 · Player intent · Confidence: medium
Rodri is open to a move to Real Madrid, per Goal Japan
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2026-07-23 · Talks opened · Confidence: medium
Real Madrid and Manchester City have opened talks over Rodri, per FussballTransfers
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2026-07-23 · Personal-terms talks · Confidence: medium
Real Madrid have opened personal-terms talks with Rodri's camp, per FussballTransfers
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2026-07-23 · Interest · Confidence: high
Real Madrid are showing interest in Rodri, per Sky Sports
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2026-07-23 · Interest · Confidence: high
Real Madrid are showing interest in Rodri, per Goal Japan
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2026-07-22 · Interest · Confidence: medium
Real Madrid are showing interest in Rodri, per Mundo Deportivo
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2026-07-22 · Talks opened · Confidence: low
Real Madrid and Manchester City have opened talks over Rodri, per Mundo Deportivo
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2026-07-22 · Personal terms agreed · Confidence: medium
Rodri has agreed personal terms with Real Madrid, per Goal Japan
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2026-07-22 · Personal terms agreed · Confidence: high
Rodri has agreed personal terms with Real Madrid, per FussballTransfers
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2026-07-22 · Club agreement · Confidence: medium
Manchester City and Real Madrid have reached a club-to-club agreement, per FussballTransfers
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2026-07-22 · Talks opened · Confidence: high
Real Madrid and Manchester City have opened talks over Rodri, per Foot Mercato
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2026-07-22 · Personal-terms talks · Confidence: high
Real Madrid have opened personal-terms talks with Rodri's camp, per Foot Mercato
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2026-07-22 · Personal terms agreed · Confidence: medium
Rodri has agreed personal terms with Real Madrid, per Foot Mercato
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2026-07-21 · Player intent · Confidence: high
Rodri is open to a move to Real Madrid, per Foot Mercato
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2026-07-04 · Interest · Confidence: low
Real Madrid are showing interest in Rodri, per Sky Sports
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2026-07-02 · Interest · Confidence: low
Real Madrid are showing interest in Rodri, per Sky Sports